Four to Follow

Results since 15/09/2007 betting each selection to win. Updated 01 Aug.

Saturday, 2nd August 2008

The Four To Follow for Bletchingly Stakes Day:

Tesbury Jack (Caulfield R6 N2)

Tesbury Jack is an exceptional galloper and it is only the great uncertainty of racing that will stop him from winning the Bletchingly Stakes on Saturday. He was simply sensational in winning the Monash fresh, cruising to victory over Red Arrow. That was his first run since the spring of 2007, where he won the Caulfield Sprint. He is the best suited under the weight scale, he flies at Caulfield and the 1100 metre journey is probably his best. He can be bet at $1.50.

Royal Asscher (Caulfield R4 N4)

Lee Freedman has a very good mare in Royal Asscher and can expect a win with her this Saturday in a moderate race. She has a good record and was racing in much better races last preparation where her best effort was a 2 ¼ length fourth to Weekend Hussler in the group one Oakleigh Plate. She excels at Caulfield and is drawn to perfection. Expect her to be right in the finish. Bet her at even money.

Typhoon Zed (Rosehill R6 N1)

This smart son of Zedative won the Galaxy only three runs back and looks set to add more black type to his name with a win in the Missile Stakes. His Galaxy win was simply outstanding, coming from the eleven gate to down his main rival this time around, Keen Commander, by a ½ head. He returned fresh in the Ramornie at Grafton with a quality placing in a race that is probably a fraction too far for him. He is at his best over 1100 metres and that is what he has this time around. He is a betting proposition at $3 or better.

Frenzillian (Morphettville R2 N1)

Frenzillian has been racing with great heart and consistency of late in much better races than this and if he carries that form into the Adelaide version of the Grand National Hurdle, he will win and win well. His last three starts have all been good, placing in the Melbourne Grand National Hurdle, the Macdonald Steeplechase and the Hiskens Steeplechase. His best effort was certainly his run in the Hiskens, where he took the wonderful chaser Some Are Bent to a half-length. This is a major class drop. Frenzillian looks the winner and can be bet at $1.80.

Saturday, 26th July 2008

The Four To Follow for Monash Stakes Day:

Some Are Bent (Moonee Valley R5 N1)

Under the set weights and penalties weight scale, it is always wise to bet the class horse. Some Are Bent is the class horse. He is possibly the best jumper in the country and he looks perfectly placed in this quality race that is regarded as the Cox Plate of the jumps circuit. After a dominant win in the Houlahan he placed in the Lachal before suffering a set back. He returned to the track two weeks ago, running a superb race on the flat in finishing fourth to We Wonder over 2040 metres at the Valley. It was a sensational effort. He has since put in a brilliant trial effort. He is going to be exceptionally difficult to hold out and he can be bet at better than $2.25. Quinella him with Derringer and Geeorb as a saver.

Johnny Knoxville (Moonee Valley R3 N3)

After a few smart efforts on the flat, Johnny Knoxville looks to be right in the mix in this fair jumping affair. His last two efforts have been particularly sound, running a 2 ¼ length third in the Country Cup before a 3 ¼ length third to We Wonder at the same journey. Both races were at Moonee Valley, where he has never finished further back than third from seven runs. If he adapts to the jumps, and he should, he will be right in the finish. Try him each-way if betting allows, though this is somewhat doubtful.

Scenic Silver (Moonee Valley R6 N4)

Scenic Silver is a Moonee Valley specialist in red hot form and that will count for plenty in this quality affair. He has won twice and run second from three efforts at the Valley and looks primed to improve on that record this weekend. He won over this journey here last start after a very good fourth behind the flying Sea Battle in the final of the Winter Championship. Prior to that he won a heat of the same event at Bendigo. He is beautifully drawn and with the claim is the best weighted horse in the race. He is going to be very hard to hold out.

Victory Chant (Cheltenham R6 N2)

Leon Macdonald has a very smart galloper in Victory Chant and is certainly capable of claiming the Dermody Stakes. Victory Chant is at his best fresh, winning two of three at his first run after a break, and he is first-up in this. He went into the break in good form, winning at his third last start in stakes company as well as last start against the older horses at Cheltenham. All four of his wins have come at this track over this sprint journey. He should make it five in the Dermody. Bet him at $2.50.

Saturday, 19th July 2008

The Four To Follow for Monash Stakes Day:

Tesbury Jack (Caulfield R6 N3)

Tesbury Jack has a ton of class and is superbly weighted in the feature race of the day, the Monash Stakes. Tesbury Jack won the group two International Sprint at Caulfield first up last preparation before injuring himself in the group one Salinger Stakes. In his previous preparation, Tesbury Jack finished only a nose away from victory in the group one Goodwood after starting in barrier nineteen. This time around Tesbury Jack will be aimed at some quality weight-for-age sprints. He has a major class edge on these and if the leg is right, he should clear out. Caulfield is also a bonus for him, having won three races here. Bet him at better than $3.25.

Magnetic (Caulfield R4 N2)

Michael Kent is a most astute trainer and he has placed Magnetic to win this weekend. His talented steed has been right around the mark of late and with his fine winning record, a win in the near future seems to be on the cards. After a close up second to Rockpecker and a very close third to O’Reilly’s Clock, he was nearly the best of the rest last start after Sea Battle won well. Magnetic has never finished further back than second from three starts at Caulfield and he has won at his only run over 1800 metres. Each-way odds should be available and he should be bet to both win and place.

Ausbred King (Rosehill R2 N2)

Nominated for two races, trainer Wade Slinkard would be well advised to run his six-year-old in the 2000 metre welter. Ausbred King looks superbly placed in the second race of the day and is a great hope of breaking through at decent odds. He went well last time out, running a 1 ¾ length fourth to With A Chance. He went a touch early, so his finishing position was admirable. He has never won at Rosehill or over the trip but he has placed five of eleven at the track and four of seven over the distance. Try him each-way at odds if the trainer decides to accept for him in the second.

Taos Pleasure (Morphettville R7 N8)

The old timer having his 80th race start looks a fine each-way proposition in the feature Adelaide race of the day. His recent form has been very good and he does appear to have his foot on the till. After back-to-back distant third’s, the John Hickmott trained gelding led most of the way last time out before being nabbed over the final 100 metres. It was a sensational effort from the old timer, suggesting a shorter trip would allow him to pinch a win soon. The wide draw is a little concern but he should be double figure odds and can be bet each-way at such long odds.

Saturday, 12th July 2008

The Four To Follow for MacDonald Steeplechase Day:

Frenzilian (Moonee Valley R4 N5)

Heather Frew has a handy one in Frenzilian and can claim this feature hurdle with her number one jumper. Frenzilian has been racing in good heart of late over the smaller fences, winning a Moonee Valley in late May before a fourth in the Australian Hurdle and a third in the Grand National. Over the bigger fences in this, he meets a slower class of horse and can break through. He handles all conditions and is certainly the one to beat. Bet him at better than $3.25.

Desert Master (Moonee Valley R3 N5)

Desert Master is a more than capable galloper who looks well placed in this mediocre hurdle. He has been going very well on the flat of late in some very handy form races that more than stack up in this affair. Three runs back he ran Rumbird to 1 ¾ lengths before a very good fourth to Derringer, both who have subsequently won. Last start he went okay after drawing wide, again finishing behind Rumbird. If he is ready to go over the jumps, and these days you really don’t have to be that ready, he is going to be right in the finish. Bet him hard.

Clavillo (Moonee Valley R6 N1)

Clavillo is a real track specialist and at Moonee Valley it is usually wise to follow those who excel on the strathayr. From fifteen runs at the Valley, Clavillo has won four times and placed a further five. He also has a fondness for this Cox Plate trip, only missing the trifecta once from five efforts. Over this distance at the Valley, his worst finish at third. His last two runs have been here, running a close up fourth behind Royal Lakes before a 1 ¾ length seventh behind Gunfire Messiah. Bart has Clavillo poised for this and he can be bet with a great deal of confidence. If each-way odds are offered, load up on him both ways.

Kaphero (Moonee Valley R8 N1)

Kaphero has just been dominant of late and should extend the picket fence with a win in the get out at the Valley this Saturday. His last three wins have been by a combined winning margin of 5 ¼ lengths with his last two brilliant wins at the Valley and over this journey. He has a huge weight but that shouldn’t prove an issue over this squib trip. The wide draw is a small concern but that is more than offset by his class, which is far superior to his rivals. Another win where he gaps the field would not surprise in the slightest.

Saturday, 5th July 2008

The Four To Follow for Grand National Steeplechase Day:

Due to family committments there are no writeups this week.

Get Up Jude (Rosehill R5 N4)

Better than $1.80 recommended.

Cocktail Supreme (Eagle Farm R7 N4)

Better than $3.25 recommended.

Toulouse Lautrec (Flemington R5 N1)

Better than $1.90 recommended.

Snort (Flemington R7 N7)

Each-way at better than $5.50 recommended.

Saturday, 28th June 2008

The Four To Follow for Grand National Hurdle Day:

Derringer (Flemington R5 N13)

Derringer is a horse who just loves a long journey and that is exactly what he gets in the Grand National. To further add to his credentials, Derringer is absolutely flying of late. Three starts back he ran well in the Ramsden and last start he bolted in on the flat over 3000 metres. Splitting those efforts was a maiden hurdle win. He only just fell in that day but he still showed plenty of ability. Over this big trip, Derringer is right in the mix and can be bet with confidence.

Geeorb (Flemington R1 N5)

This son of Encosta De Lago is flying over the steeples, quite literally, at the moment and he is certainly capable of taking the Crisp Steeplechase. His last two efforts have been dominant steeplechase victories, winning at Warnambool by 10 lengths before a win at the same track by 3 ¼ lengths. He may not have any big race wins under his belt but that may change on Saturday. Try him each-way if betting allows.

Masai Pride (Sunshine Coast R6 N9)

Masai Pride is an enigmatic galloper who on his day would blitz this field. He has plenty of toe and when he gets the breaks he is very hard to beat. What Masai Pride requires is a big track and plenty of speed and he appears to get both in the Glasshouse. Trained out of the Gold Coast, Masai Pride won three starts back at Doomben before a very good effort in stakes company at Eagle Farm. Last start he turned in a fair effort at the unsuitable Ipswich track in the Eye Liner. He excels at this trip and he has a very good record at the Sunshine Coast. Bet him and hope he gets the breaks.

Jim’s Party (Cheltenham R7 N1)

Jim’s Party is a talented Adelaide galloper who is more than capable of winning fresh in this moderate affair. He has won previously first-up, he has placed twice at this trip from only two attempts and he is rarely far away at Cheltenham. Last preparation he was never too far back and should return to the track in good order. From the kind alley he is going to be right in the finish and may actually get out to good odds. A sound each-way proposition at better than $7.

 

Saturday, 21st June 2008

The Four To Follow for Winter Stakes Day:

Vormista (Eagle Farm R7 N7)

Forget her effort in the Stradbroke. She is better than that and she didn’t appear to get a lot of luck. The slow track may also have been against her. Prior to that she was only fair behind Apache Cat in the Doomben 10,000. It was her performance three runs back, however, that is the basis for our backing her in the Winter Stakes. She was simply sensational in taking Apache Cat to a head. She has a touch of class and this trip suits. This is easier than her last two efforts and she can be tried each-way at $6 or better.

Rampant Lion (Eagle Farm R6 N1)

Trainer Lindsay Gough will be happy to have a Rampant Lion away from Ipswich. It is a track that just doesn’t suit this freakish son of Lion Hunter. Eagle Farm is much more to his liking as he has won four and placed six times from sixteen runs. Not that Rampant Lion was ordinary at Ipswich in the Cup. He ran a wonderful second. That was no consolation to the many who bet Rampant Lion into favouritism. He is a deserved favourite in this and will be tough to hold out. Bet him at $3.25.

Conzeal (Moonee Valley R3 N2)

Eric Musgrove, the modern day jumps king, has an old marvel in Conzeal and he is certainly capable of claiming a quality chase with him this Saturday. Conzeal, the winner of this season’s Great Eastern at Oakbank, has been racing in great heart of late and has more than enough ability to win here. After a solid effort in the Grand Annual, where he ran a good third, he turned in an eyecatching seventh on the flat at Casterton. That run suggested he would be very difficult to beat back over the big sticks. He seems well in at the weights and has two placings on this track. He has a class edge on most of these and can be backed at $3.75.

Cocoruru (Rosehill R6 N3)

This son of Viscount is certainly a tempestuous one but he has some real class as shown by his quality win over the seven furlong journey last start. Cocoruru was slow away that day and sat three and four wide throughout the run yet still had far too much for his rivals, beating Viva Caro by 1 ¼ lengths. That was a super impressive run. He has an incredible record over this trek and has never missed a place at Rosehill. He can be bet with great confidence.

Saturday, 14th June 2008

The Four To Follow for Australian Steeplechase and Hurdle Day:

Toulouse Lautrec (Sandown Hillside R4 N1)

This former Queensland Derby winner has been considered a failure by many in the racing game, a young gun who didn’t make it as an older horse. After three seasons in the wilderness, however, the son of Danewin has found his niche. Toulouse Lautrec is a jumper and one who really loves a trip. He has been firing over the big fences of late, bolting in by big margins at the Valley and Mornington before winning the Trevor Clarke with ease. He shoots up 4kg in weight but he has such an edge in class that it shouldn’t matter. He has the best jumps rider in the country on his back and the big strider is suited to perfection at the Hillside. Take him at the shorts. $1.70 is the shortest he should be bet.

Frenzilian (Sandown Hillside R5 N3)

We are on a Craig Durden feature double this week with Durden also steering a great hope in the hurdle. Heather Frew from Murray Bridge has him and she places her steeds well. Frenzilian is certainly capable of winning this. He ran super in the Galleywood before only a fair run on the flat. Last start he broke through at the Valley. He should appreciate the extra journey and he handles any conditions. Bet him each-way if odds allow.

Dr Nipandtuck (Sandown Hillside R6 N1)

This handy song of Dr Fong is edging to a win and this Saturday looks the day where he breaks through. The winner of over $500,000 in prizemoney has been going well of late with his last start 4th down the Flemington straight six a real eyecatcher. Up an extra furlong and down somewhat in class, he gets all the favours. He loves the 1400 metre trip and has placed twice at Sandown from four runs. Bird Dancer is the big worry. Bet Dr Nipandtuck and save on Bird Dancer.

El Perez (Ipswich R7 N4)

The Ipswich Cup went to New Zealand last year and it is a great hope of going over the ditch this time around. Donna Logan has a very handy stayer in El Perez and he looks placed to perfection in this listed country cup. Donna Logan doesn’t bring them over for a holiday. He was racing well over a mile before a dominant win over 2200 metres last start. He has won three of six at this trip and looks well drawn. Expect El Perez to do what Sculptor did last year and steal the Ipswich Cup. Bet him each-way.

Saturday, 7th June 2008

The Four To Follow for Stradbroke Handicap day:

Vormista (Eagle Farm R7 N12)

Vormista has the x-factor that is required to win big group one races and it could come in very handy in the Stradbroke. She was absolutely brilliant fresh when taking Apache Cat to a head in the BTC Cup. Very few gallopers get that close to the multiple group one winner and horse of the year nomination. She was a touch disappointing last start but that was second-up and she was a touch unlucky. She is well suited by the journey and Eagle Farm is far more forgiving to her racing pattern. She looks a wonderful each-way hope.

Mission Critical (Eagle Farm R6 N1)

Despite beating his main Derby rival in the Rough Habit, Mission Critical currently sits behind Moatize in betting. This has created plenty of value in Mission Critical, who most books have at better than $4. The Mike Moroney trained son of Fantastic Light was full of courage last start, kicking back when passed by Moatize. That was an excellent Derby trial. With some severe question marks over Moatize’s will to win, Mike Moroney appears to have a red hot Derby shot. Back Mission Critical at $3.25 or better.

Sectagonal (Eagle Farm R5 N1)

Sectagonal has been desperately unlucky lately but will hopefully turn that around in Queensland’s version of the Lightning. He has placed in each of his last three starts spaced over the last three months, turning in a good effort each time. Last start he was a touch unlucky. He loves this trip, excels at Eagle Farm and looks well suited by the tempo. Try him each-way at $6.

Red Element (Flemington R5 N2)

Red Ransom has thrown some handy ones in recent times and he looks to have another good one in Red Element. He has won three from four and is set to get his first black type race in the listed Creswick Stakes. After winning a Kyneton maiden with ease, he has recorded two straight city victories. The first of those was a Saturday race with a touch of class about it. He looks well placed in this. Take him at $3 or better.

Saturday, 31st May 2008

The Four To Follow for Queensland Oaks Day:

Heavenly Glow (Eagle Farm R6 N1)

Heavenly Glow is a star. She looks like a brilliant prospect and is going to be right in Cups betting after this. Since going to the Allan Denham stable, she has won four of five including the group one Arrowfield Stud Stakes and the group one AJC Oaks. Both were won in fine style. Last start she continued on in the same vein with a simply stunning win in the Doomben Roses where she beat Pentacity by ¾ of a length after getting well back. She had them covered in a stride. The heavy rains will only enhance her chances. She can be bet heavily in black figures.

Rampant Lion (Eagle Farm R3 N4)

On his day, Rampant Lion can run a field off their legs. He likes to bound to the front, dictate the tempo and drive his opposition into the ground. And in spite of his sprinting pedigree, he is at his best over a trip. At the 2200 metres, he has won once and placed twice from four efforts. He usually performs exceptionally at Eagle Farm and he looks well suited by the small field and the wet going, which will assist with his foot soreness. Rampant Lion was super last start in the Doomben Cup and any repeat of that will see him rolling to victory. Can be bet at $4.

Some Are Bent (Flemington R2 N1)

Some Are Bent is class. He is a talented jumper and he appears to be back to his best after a dominant win in the Houlahan Hurdle. He made all the running that day and still had too much for a handy field in what should prove a strong form race. Prior to that he was solid in the Galleywood where he ran a close-up fourth. He has 68kg on his back but it is well deserved and he is a proven weight carrier after winning last start with 68 ½ kg. He is the one to beat in the Lachal and can be bet at better than 5/4.

Tommifrancs (Rosehill R6 N2)

This son of Real Quiet looks a rejuvenated horse at the age of six and he is certainly capable of winning the McKell Cup. Tommifrancs unleashed a stunning burst to win the Wagga Gold Cup two runs back before just missing out by a long neck in the Lord Mayors last start. This looks to be his trip these days and he has a handy record at the track with two placings from three efforts. With some controversy and a boom surrounding the race favourite, Tommifrancs looks the value runner and should be bet each-way.

Saturday, 24th May 2008

The Four To Follow for Doomben 10,000 Day:

Apache Cat (Doomben R7 N1)

Never mind the ongoing saga about Apache Cat’s health. And never mind his close victory at short odds last start. Apache Cat is one of Australia’s finest gallopers and he will be extraordinarily difficult to beat in the Doomben 10,000, a race he has been aimed for. After winning three consecutive group one races, he narrowly held on in the BTC Cup last start. Vormista made a gallant charge at the baldy-faced steed but few get the better of Apache Cat in a slog for the line. With black odds available, Apache Cat is a super bet.

Fulmonti (Doomben R5 N2)

It is never wise to rely too heavily on Fulmonti. He has a tendency to sucker one in with a flashy finish that screams “back me next time”. Fulmonti was, however, brilliant last start in victory and can be bet again. That victory was at Doomben over 2020 metres in the Chairmans Handicap. He steps up a furlong in this and that suits to perfection. He loves it at Doomben and he is well drawn. With enough speed in the race, he is going to be very hard to hold out late. Bet him at $4.

Tornado Alley (Doomben R4 N1)

This Flying Spur seven-year-old flies fresh and he will be very hard to hold out in the Doomben Dash. After a solid preparation over the New Year, he was sent around for one run in March, where he bolted in over 900 metres at Doomben. He set a course record that day in what was an impressive run. He will be primed for this and from the good alley he looks very difficult to beat. The two-kilo claim only further enhances his chances. Tornado Alley is the clear top selection.

Lancettier (Moonee Valley R1 N3)

He didn’t salute in the Houlahan Hurdle last week for us but he looks a sound bet in this much easier affair. He was courageous in the Houlahan and was just outclassed by one of Australia’s finest jumpers. He battled on well for fourth, finishing only 7 ½ lengths from the winner after taking up the running. Prior to that he won well at Sandown. He looks a jumper of the future and he should be winning here. $2.75 looks his right price.

Saturday, 17th May 2008

The Four To Follow for Doomben Cup day:

Eskimo Queen (Doomben R7 N11)

Eskimo Queen has a touch of class and that is exactly what is needed to win group one races. She has that sensational finish on her and she always competes against the best. Her second-up win in the Coolmore two runs back was stunning and though she failed to flatter in the Doncaster, she is right in the Doomben Cup. The extra trip is ideal for her at this stage and she looks well drawn. Expect her to be on the scene late. $5 is currently on offer and she can be bet each-way at that price.

Heavenly Glow (Doomben R4 N1)

Heavenly Glow is racing in sensational form and will be very hard to roll in the Doomben Roses. She has an amazing record and appears to have that will to win that only the exceptional horses have. Since getting up over a trip she has been dominant, winning the Arrowfield Stud Stakes before claiming the AJC Oaks. She was sensational in both efforts. It does not appear that she will be held out in this. Bet her with confidence.

My Lady’s Chamber (Rosehill R7 N5)

In a race bereft of class, My Lady’s Chamber gets a super chance to break through in the Lord Mayors Cup. Since winning at Canberra on Black Opal Day, she has been racing well without saluting. Her best effort was a second to Ready To Lift in the Epona though her last start 2 ½ length second to Kosi Bay in the Emancipation was full of merit. She is wonderfully suited by the trip and the small field and will give this a real shake. As always, take her each-way. The main danger is without doubt Nuclear Sky. He is racing in great heart and should be thrown into a quinella with the selection as a saver.

Lancettier (Flemington R1 N9)

In what looks a handy Houlahan Hurdle, the one on the up appears the way to go. The Argentinean bred Lancettier, from the David Hayes yard, has not proven himself against any quality jumpers but he appears to have adapted to the sticks well and should push some of the better performed jumpers. After a sound debut at Pakenham Lancettier recorded a good win at Sandown last start, where he defeated Ashkadaad by 2 ½ lengths in what was an open hurdle. He seems to have taken to the jumping game and he has a touch of quality about him. Do not be surprised to see him outperform those with the more highly rated Galleywood. Bet him each-way.

Saturday, 10th May 2008

The Four To Follow for BTC Cup day:

Apache Cat (Doomben R7 N1)

One of Australia’s most popular gallopers will become even more popular with the populace when he wins the BTC Cup. The Greg Eurell gelding with the baldy face and the white socks and the massive heart looks a good thing this Saturday in a small field against only fair opposition. He loves this trip, he is coming off three consecutive group one wins and he will be piloted by a very good jockey. $1.60 is short but he looks like he just wins. He can be bet heavily at better than two’s-on.

Royal Discretion (Hawkesbury R7 N2)

Royal Discretion was devastating in the South Pacific Classic last start and he will start a deserved favourite in the Hawkesbury Guineas. He can, however, still be bet at the opening quotes of 7-4 being offered. In the South Pacific, he left his rivals for dead when scooting away to win by 3 ½ lengths. Prior to that he ran a cracker in the Hobartville behind Serious Speed. He is from an in-form stable and he has won here in the past. He will prove very hard to hold out.

Ortensia (Caulfield R4 N5)

Tony Noonan looks to have a sharp one in Ortensia. This Testa Rossa filly has been simply stunning in two runs to date. On debut, she walked in at Bendigo over five furlongs by 4 ¾ lengths. At her second start she went even better, winning in town by five lengths at a midweek meeting. She takes on the boys this time around and she steps up to Saturday grade but she simply looks to have these outclassed. She can be supported at the shorts.

Foreign Scandal (Morphettville R1 N1)

This old boy from the Jim Smith stables nearly produced a stunning upset on the flat last start when coming within a neck of downing Kurrewa, turning in a slashing effort in the straight. On that performance, he would lap these. Foreign Scandal is an accomplished jumper and he is always around the mark in these Adelaide hurdles. He has one of the premier jumps riders on board in Brett Scott and he has a solid record on this track with four placings from six runs. He is the one to beat and can be bet with confidence.

Saturday, 2nd May 2008

The Four To Follow for Sydney Cup day:

Pentathon (Randwick R7 N3)

Yes, we are all on Raymond Shane Dye for the big two miler and though it happened sixteen years ago, the shudders of Veandercross still ring loudly. Regardless, Shane Dye does appear to be on a winner with the John Wheeler prepared Pentathon. Trained out of New Zealand, Pentathon is a true two miler and looks to be one of the few steeds proven over the Cup distance. He was very good in the Manion before a sound effort at weight-for-age in the BMW where he finished fifth. He will be there when the whips are cracking and should be bet at the $6 on offer.

Sebring (Randwick R4 N1)

The Triple Crown is his for the taking. The undefeated Gai Waterhouse colt was brilliant in overcoming a slow start in the Golden Slipper before a dominant win in the Sires Produce last Saturday. Blake Shinn let Sebring down at the top of the straight in the Sires Produce and he never looked like getting beaten. His Slipper and Sires Produce wins have scared off many of his potential rivals and this looks like the Sebring Celebration Stakes. He is short but he wins. Take the red figures.

Tuesday Joy (Randwick R6 N6)

The Queen Elizabeth may be the race of the day this Saturday and the one to beat is clearly Tuesday Joy. That is particularly true now that she has strung a couple of wins together and appears to have shaken her non-winning ways. She was impressive in winning the Ranvet two runs back before coming with a withering burst to take the BMW. They were both sensational wins and suggest Tuesday Joy may finally be reaching her potential. There will be no Darren Beadman today but the red hot Glen Boss will fly back from Hong Kong to take the ride. She gets all the ticks and can be bet at the short odds. A Waterhouse quinella with Desert War is also recommended.

Racing To Win (Randwick R8 N1)

The All Aged Stakes looks a race in two between Racing To Win and Casino Prince. Casino Prince was sensational when flashing home last Saturday to finish second in the Doncaster. He does, however, rise significantly in weight this week with the weight-for-age conditions of the All Aged and he drops back a furlong in distance, which does not suit at all as he has not won from three efforts at 1400 metres. Racing To Win, simply, looks better suited by the race conditions. He loves Randwick and this trip is ideal. He was a touch disappointing after returning from an injury with a second in the Canterbury Stakes before a cracking effort behind Weekend Hussler in the George Ryder. He is a genuine group one horse and will be very hard to beat in the All Aged.

Saturday, 26th April 2008

The Four To Follow for Doncaster Handicap-AJC Derby day:

Eskimo Queen (Randwick R8 N6)

Eskimo Queen was simply brilliant winning the Coolmore last start and her name would certainly not look out of place on the roll call of Doncaster Handicap winners. She, simply, is quality with a capital Q. She first showed her class in the Queensland Oaks last season when she blitzed a very handy field. She could have made it a double with the Derby had she not lost her rider down the back straight. Her autumn preparation was quite good and she looks back to her best now. Her dominant Coolmore win would certainly suggest it. She has great wet track form, the extra trip will suit her and the alley looks nice. Back her each-way.

Steel Giant (Randwick R6 N8)

We will stick with Steel Giant for the AJC Derby. He didn’t quite get there in the Rosehill Guineas but he looks a real player in the Derby at big odds. His run in the Rosehill Guineas was anything but disappointing, running as quality fifth, finishing only 1 ½ lengths behind Dealer Principal. Prior to that he finished close up behind Weekend Hussler in the Randwick Guineas. He is drawn wide, which will be fine on Saturday with a likely slow track. The only query is how he will handle the rain affected going. The big odds, however, make him a good each-way proposition.

Sebring (Randwick R5 N1)

Sebring did enough to last in the Slipper and all readers of this column were pleased he did so, particularly after missing the kick. It really was a super win and one that will stand in the strongest half over the last decade. Most impressive was the fact he did it after six weeks off. To win a Slipper after that break at only his fourth start was amazing. He looks even better suited over the seven furlong journey and the wet conditions will prove no concern, as exhibited last weekend. The return of Blake Shinn further strengthens Sebring’s grip on the race as Shinn will be ultra keen to taste group one glory on the steed after missing the Slipper through suspension. $2.25 looks his right price.

Takeover Target (Randwick R7 N1)

The Target returns and it is thanks to the Singaporean racing officials that he is able to take part due to their relaxation of quarantine laws. The favourite for the T.J Smith is the always courageous Apache Cat but he appears to be under the odds. The value is with the grand old campaigner, Takeover Target, who would have been odds on against this field two years ago. The old boy still has it though his supporters appear to be thinner on the ground these days. He won two on end at Randwick last before controversially losing the Villiers on protest. He loves Randwick, this trip is perfect and the wet will be no problem. The better than 7/2 available is a great bet.

Saturday, 19th April 2008

The Four To Follow for Golden Slipper Day:

NOTE: The form has been done for a slow track at Rosehill.

Sebring (Rosehill R7 N8)

The Golden Slipper favourite is certainly the one to beat after the rains have come this week. Sebring has been sensational in his three starts, winning all. He won his debut in the slow before taking the Canonbury and the Breeders Plate on dead tracks. His win in the Breeders against a good field was a real eye-catcher. He has drawn well, has the right racing pattern for the Slipper and the addition of big race rider Glen Boss is a further positive. Augusta Proud is the danger, being slightly more seasoned. Sebring still has plenty of scope for improvement and is a bet at $5 plus.

Racing To Win (Rosehill R6 N1)

The George Ryder will be a two horse war. Weekend Hussler is a phenom and will prove himself to be one of the finest gallopers of this era. He does, however, appear to have things running against him this weekend. The small field could work against him and he was unplaced at his only run on the slow going. The Hussler is certainly vulnerable and the one to beat him is the classy Racing To Win. Racing To Win was good last start when running a good second in a very small field. That came after missing a run due to a minor injury. He is better suited here and the conditions are ideal. He is the one to be on.

County Tyrone (Rosehill R5 N1)

The BMW is renowned for throwing up surprise results in recent times and with all the favourites having some severe question marks hanging over them, another upset could be on the cards. The big value is with the aging warrior County Tyrone. He is nine, he has drawn wide and he is not suited by the weight scale. He has, however, been racing in great heart. He just missed out in the Parramatta Cup two runs back before a nice effort in the Sky High. He is mammoth odds for this and is worth some each-way interest.

My Lady’s Chamber (Rosehill R2 N9)

Our old favourite came very close once more last week, just missing out in the Epona at big odds. It was a super effort, coming from back and wide to hit the front, only to be swamped late by Ready To Lift. The kind place dividend certainly helped to ease the pain. She is much better drawn this Saturday and drops in weight. She is always around the mark in this grade and the wet track should prove no concern. She will be double figure odds again and once more, she is a fantastic each-way proposition.

Saturday, 12th April 2008

The Four To Follow for Rosehill Guineas and Goodwood Handicap day:

Steel Giant (Rosehill R7 N7)

Trained out of Goulburn by the talented Rick Worthington, Steel Giant has a record as imposing as his name and can graduate to group one winner in the Rosehill Guineas. His only run outside the quinella was last start, when finishing only 1 ½ lengths from Weekend Hussler. That was an outstanding effort after stepping up from the Canberra Guineas. He is well drawn and he is a sound bet each-way at $10.

My Lady’s Chamber (Rosehill R3 N7)

Our old favourite is a good bet once more. My Lady’s Chamber ran another cracking race last start, just missing out on the placings in the Aspiration. She once again fought on with great heart. That followed an expected poor performance at group one level in the Apollo. She goes very well here and the distance will suit her to perfection. A good each-way crack can be had.

Zipanese (Morphettville R7 N18)

The incredibly big field and the lack of a clear favourite makes this year’s Goodowood full of value. It is best to go wide here and with some hot speed on the cards, it is best to look for a steed racing off the pace. Zipanese fulfills all requirements. The Bellotto mare has been racing well lately, placing at her last three and getting home a treat in all. She was particularly impressive when just missing out to Juste Momente in the Sangster. She is perfectly drawn and has no weight on her back. She is great value at big odds. Try her each-way.

Trick of Light (Morphettville R5 N7)

Michael Kent is an astute trainer and he has placed his talented mare to perfection here. Trick of Light is at her best against her own sex and over a mile and that is exactly what she has here. She was impressive fresh when finishing second behind Translate and she will be fitter for that this time around. She has never finished outside the quinella over this trip and she could not have a better draw. She is going to be very hard to beat and can be bet down to $3.50.

Saturday, 5th April 2008

The Four To Follow for Ranvet Stakes day:

Desert War (Canterbury R6 N2)

All the talk in the Ranvet has been about the Gai Waterhouse prepared Tuesday Joy, noting her slashing run in the Chipping Norton and how this trip is sure to suit. All but forgotten has been stablemate Desert War, who was very good in the Chipping Norton also. Desert War is also more suited to the Canterbury course and will be better off for the last run. At the generous odds of $7.50, this grand old campaigner is the value. He will bound to the front and prove very difficult to run down. This is the Gai horse to be on.

Sniper’s Bullet (Canterbury R2 N3)

Racing To Win is the short-priced favourite in the Canterbury Stakes but may be vulnerable after missing a run due to an injury concern and the small size of the field. With two horses totally outclassed, that leaves two betting propositions. Mentality has been ordinary in two runs this preparation so the remaining steed, Sniper’s Bullet is the standout. He was sensational in the Chipping Norton when running third and the slight drop in trip should suit. He will have a giant sprint for the finale and he is going to be flying at the line. The $3.50 plus available for Sniper’s Bullet is certainly a bet.

Typhoon Zed (Canterbury R5 N2)

Typhoon Zed is a group one quality horse and he has exhibited such talent with a close-up third in the Salinger to finish his last preparation before a quality victory in the Galaxy last start. That was a super effort by Typhoon Zed, who had drawn wide in a quality field. He drops back in grade today and despite the rise in weight should account for these. He is drawn well and Canterbury suits to perfection. He is a genuine 2-1 shot.

Video Star (Cheltenham R5 N5)

Those with decent Melbourne form tend to do well when racing in Adelaide and Video Star has more than decent Melbourne form. In her last three starts she has won a midweek event at Sandown, ran third at the Valley before winning a $100,000 race at Flemington. That last effort was most pleasing and this race is certainly a drop in class for the in-form mare. She will start favourite but can be supported at anything above $3.25.

Saturday, 29th March 2008

The Four To Follow for Randwick Guineas Day:

Weekend Hussler (Randwick R7 N1)

Weekend Hussler has been simply sensational this preparation. When most boom horses have gone bust, Weekend Hussler took it to the next level. He returned with two dominant group one sprint victories, taking both the Oakleigh Plate and Newmarket Handicap in impressive fashion. He returns to his own age group this weekend and he looks a good thing. $1.80 is being offered and he can be bet at that. The only worry is the Sydney way of going and whether he will handle that the first time.

My Lady’s Chamber (Randwick R9 N5)

An old favourite of this column, My Lady’s Chamber showed her ability in the National Sprint two starts back when she came with a withering burst to record her second career victory. It was a sensational run and showed how competitive she could be in this grade. Last start she offered little in the Apollo but back to listed company, she can figure again. She will appreciate the mile and she is sure to be grinding away at the death. She is a super each-way bet.

Spinney (Moonee Valley R6 N1)

This son of Octagonal has always promised plenty and while he has never reached the top level, he has certainly performed very nicely in some quality affairs. He went well last preparation and can, nearly winning the Auckland Racing Club Cup. He caught the eye first-up with a good effort, running 2 ¾ lengths behind Orange County. He will appreciate the step up to a mile and he has never missed a place at the Valley. He is the one to beat.

Miss Andretti (Morphettville R7 N1)

Miss Andretti is the queen of the Australian turf and nearly unbeatable over any sprint course in this country. She, of course, will be extremely short in betting. But those odds are most likely overs at weight-for-age over six furlongs with very few quality rivals. She has a tremendous record over this trip at the very highest level, she is at her best first-up and she is the best weighted horse. She looks a genuine fives-on shot if ever there was one. Only the great uncertainty of racing will see her beat. This should be the easiest group one win of her career.

Saturday, 22nd March 2008

The Four To Follow for Chipping Norton Stakes day:

Honor In War (Randwick R7 N6)

The best form for the Chipping Norton over the last decade has been the Apollo Stakes and this year looks no different. Had Racing To Win accepted, he would have been very difficult to stop. The runner-up in the Apollo was Tuesday Joy, the favourite for the Chipping Norton, but there are question marks on how she performs on a dry track. Honor In War ran a solid sixth in the Apollo and can improve into the winner’s circle this week. He is better suited to a dry track, his most memorable performance was here at Randwick and the addition of Darren Beadman is a real boon. Honor In War should be favourite and can be bet at the current quote of $5.

Bentley Biscuit (Randwick R6 N1)

Bentley Biscuit turned in a shocker fresh but can atone in the Galaxy and certainly looks a bet at the double figure odds being offered. He clearly has the class to perform in such a quality race as he was taken to Europe last season by trainer Gai Waterhouse. He performs well second-up and his record at Randwick is sensational, winning four of five. He is more than capable of knocking over his more fancied rivals. Back him each-way at the kind odds.

Divine Madonna (Randwick R8 N1)

Divine Madonna is a classy mare with a sprint like no other and with any luck she will be right in the finish of the Liverpool City Cup. Last preparation was another quality outing for the daughter of Hurricane Sky, winning the Toorak and Meyer Classic whilst turning in a good effort at each run. She goes well fresh and is sure to be charging home late in what looks a race of good speed. The only concern is the 60 ½ kilograms she has been burdened with. Still, at the double figure odds on offer, she is a great each-way bet.

Force Nine (Oakbank R6 N5)

Eric Musgrove knows how to get a jumper ready for carnival time and Force Nine will be no different. He looks an extremely good proposition in the Von Doussa after a slashing hurdle win at Morphettville two weeks back. Force Nine completely decimated rivals, taking the race by 8 ½ lengths. He has a good record over the sticks and looks a surefire chaser. The main danger is Clearview Bay and it would be wise to save by putting the topweight into a quinella.

Saturday, 15th March 2008

The Four To Follow for today. Apologies but due to technical difficulties I am unable to provide comments today:

Jukebox Johnny (Flemington R2 N2) - note Scratched.

Cargo Cult (Flemington R7 N6)

Newport e/w (Rosehill R4 N3)

Radetzky March e/w (Rosehill R5 N6)

Saturday, 8th March 2008

The Four To Follow for Super Saturday:

Weekend Hussler (Flemington R6 N3)

Weekend Hussler marked himself as the next superstar of the Australian turf with a brilliant win in the Oakleigh Plate when vulnerable first-up. That win was sensational by any measurement and he seems a near certainty in the Newmarket. Big things are planned for this Ross McDonald trained steed and he looks to have the ability to achieve them. The biggest concern is the straight track but his nice draw and racing pattern should offset this. The $1.75 on offer is a bet.

Light Fantastic (Flemington R7 N5)

It would be impossible to start a career any more impressively than this Mick Price trained son of Danehill Dancer. He has been perfect, winning all three races with a leg in the air. After bolting in at Kyneton, he has recorded back-to-back city wins and both were dominant victories. Craig Newitt returns this weekend and the draw seems to suit. Expect him to be right in the finish. He looks a genuine $2.25 shot to take the Guineas.

Sirmione (Flemington R8 N3)

Princess Coup is the dominant favourite for the Australian Cup but she is clear unders based on her last win when, if Sirmione had any luck, she would have been downed. And, of course, Sirmione would have been bordering on favouritism for this. The MacKinnon Stakes winner loves the open expanses of Flemington and is well suited by the journey and should turn the tables on the New Zealand mare. Bart will add another group one trophy to his already bulging cabinet.

Utzon (Rosehill R7 N6)

Bookmakers are being extremely generous with Utzon fresh, offering $26 about the winner of the 2006 Villiers Stakes. This field is no doubt full of quality with Paratroopers, Racing To Win, Desert War and Sniper’s Bullet all partaking but the class of Utzon has seemingly been forgotten. Utzon raced only once last year before EI struck and that effort was not bad. He goes well fresh, he loves the seven furlong journey and he performs well at Rosehill. Try him each-way.

Saturday, 1st March 2008

The Four To Follow for Futurity Stakes day:

Miss Finland (Caulfield R7 N11)

There are few more talked about horses in Australia and in recent times, much of the discussion has not been kind. To some extent, the negativity has been warranted. She has certainly not lived up to the form that made her such a star as a three-year old filly. It must, however, be remembered that she has raced in the best of company. And she has never been too far away. She races in group one company this weekend but this is the weakest race she has seen in a while. She is also up to a far more suitable trip. Caulfield is her favourite track and this is her last chance. Expect her to come good on a dead track or better. She can be bet at $4 or above.

Jukebox Johnny (Caulfield R8 N5)

Jukebox Johnny is a good honest stayer and can be relied upon to offer a full hearted performance. Mick Price has tried something a little different this preparation by resuming over 2000 metres. He turned in a sound effort that day, finishing only 1 ¼ lengths from the winner. Sure to be fitter this weekend, Jukebox Johnny will be right there when the whips are cracking. This trip is perfect at this stage and Caulfield has always bought out the best in him. Try him each-way.

Red Oog (Randwick R5 N2)

This former top class sprinter has been off the scene since early April last year but can return to his winning ways fresh in the Challenge Stakes. Just forget last preparation, when Red Oog failed in two runs after being tried in Hong Kong. After a good long rest, he should be ready to fire for this. He is at his best first-up and he does go well at Randwick. This is not a field of superstars and at his best Red Oog would win and win well. He is a good bet on a dead track or better, which it may be if the rains stay away and the heavy winds keep up. Try him each-way. The $14 on offer is over the odds.

Posadas (Randwick R7 N1)

Game as a fox last start, Posadas did the right thing by us all to show a ton of fight to kick back and win in open class. It was a courageous win after going down to Keen Commander first-up. The one quality admired above all in Posadas is his consistency, his refusal to run at anything below his best. Expect nothing left on Saturday. Posadas drops in weight and is better drawn this time around and though rising in grade, he is more than capable against this lot. A wet track would make him a better bet.

Past four to follow selections can be found here.