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IPL - Deccan Chargers (Hyderabad) v Delhi Daredevils
Toss all form out the window - that's what we have learnt from
the electrifying first week of the Indian Premier League.
Teams that got flogged in their tournament openers have
been coming out and winning (take Shane Warne's
Jaipur for instance) while dominant teams in the first round
have been brought down to earth very quickly. Twenty20 cricket
is like that - you never quite know what you are going
to get and things change in the blink of an eye.
Don't
just toss the formguide out the window for the Hyderabad
and Delhi clash - set it on fire and then stomp on it! The
cavalry have arrived for both teams and both will be fielding
vastly different outfits to their last outings. Hyderabad,
coming off a loss at a shocking Kolkata pitch, will be reinforced
by having two of international cricket's most exhilarating
six hitters at their disposal - Herschelle Gibbs and Shahid
Afridi. They should join Andrew Symonds and Adam
Gilchrist in the lineup however the IPL rule that allows
only four overseas players to take the field for each
team means Hyderabad will have to choose wisely and
probably sacrifice some of their bowlers.
Delhi, bolstered
by the arrival of Shoaib Malik and impressive Pakistani
quick Mohammad Asif, will also have a selection headache
trying to pick only four foreign players. So with both teams
changing their lineups - and with Hyderbad's form too
hard to read after coming off a terrible Kolkata pitch
- we will be steering well clear of any head-to-head betting
plunges in this match. Despite the big names in the Hyderabad
side we do think the batting firepower in both sides is more
even than most think. Delhi openers Gautam Gambhir
and Virender Sehwag are made to order for this form
of cricket and could easily banker a winning score. For that
reason we think Delhi are slight overs because you can
get $2.55 with Bill Hurley. But for the reasons mentioned
before, we are happy to watch on and we won't be making this
an official play.
OPENING ANCHOR
We really like the look of the Delhi openers, Gambhir
and Sehwag. Gambhir consistently flies under the radar but
is an ultra-impressive type with a big future. Gambhir is coming
off an unbeaten 58 in his first IPL hit-out so he is seeing
it like a watermelon. The unsung Indian loves this form of
the game - smashing 227 runs at the Twenty20 World Cup last
year to be the second highest runscorer of the tournament.
No field is big enough to contain ""Chubby'' Sehwag
and you would think these guys would be a great partnership
because they know their games so well. Likely Hyderabad openers
Adam Gilchrist and Venugopal Rao don't know each other
from a bar of soap. They also don't have their T20 eye in
after coming off the terrible Kolkata pitch. We like the
Delhi openers to score more runs than the Hyderabad openers
and we think the Lasseters quote of $2.05 on Delhi in the
openers market is worth 1 unit.
TAKE ON LAXMAN
We are not suggesting an official bet here but we really
feel that Hyderabad skipper VVS Laxman is completely unsuited
to Twenty20 cricket. He is a pure batting stylist but gets
flustered by having to play unorthodox shots in the 20-over
format. Just look at how he got out in Kolkata the other
night - throwing his wicket away with a terrible skied shot
only a ball after being struck on the thumb. There are plenty
of markets on the top Hyderabad runscorer and we would be
avoiding Laxman (about $6) like the plague.
If you want a
bet on these markets, take Laxman on and we think Shahid
Afridi is over the odds at about $7 but you would have to
take a small risk that he may not play with the international
quote. However we think he will because he is made to order
for T20. If Hyderabad get off to a good start Afridi
could easily be pumped up the order to take advantage of
his extraordinary big-hitting skills. If Hyderabad get off
to a poor start then Afridi will get a decent bat anyway
and get his chance at No.6 or 7 in the later overs.
Andrew Symonds, at about the $5 mark, could also be worth
a small bet in the top runscorer markets. Symo was impressive
and top-scored on the dodgy Kolkata pitch. So maybe something
small on Symonds and Afridi if you fel like having an interest
- just don't touch Laxman!!
© 2008 Punting Ace.com
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